3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,114 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 304 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,192/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$331
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$87/mo
Annual
$1,047/yr
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.13%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#46 in PA, #255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities D.
Beaver Area SD (suburban): math 58% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #30 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
11 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G352S1D0AQ6DN0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29