1005 SW 23rd St

Blue Springs, MO 64015

$242,500D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,519 sqft · Built 1975 · SingleFamily · Pending · 9 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,824/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,272
• Tax + insurance: −$411
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$383
• Net cashflow: $-242/mo
• Annual: $-2,908/yr
• Cap rate: 5.09%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.28%
• DSCR: 0.81
• 1% rule: 0.75%
• Cash to close: $67,900

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $242k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-242 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (17.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (24.8% below list).
• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $182k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in MO, #1,297 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Franklin Smith Elem. (math 59% / reading 55%, grade C+, #159 of 1,115 statewide, top 16%, 411 students, 43% FRL); Moreland Ridge Middle (math 51% / reading 55%, grade C+, #51 of 391 statewide, top 13%, 1,071 students, 31% FRL); Blue Springs South High (math 43% / reading 72%, grade C, #49 of 521 statewide, top 9%, 2,261 students, 22% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.2% in Blue Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.