2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,864 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Condo
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,732/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,512
Tax + insurance
−$545
HOA
−$1,794
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,204
Net cashflow
$-323/mo
Annual
$-3,880/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$134,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $479k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-323 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $422k (11.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $479k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $422k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Boca Raton Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 365 students, 62% FRL); Boca Raton Community Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 1,225 students, 41% FRL); West Boca Raton High School (math 55% / reading 70%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,271 students, 28% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $223k; list at $479k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.7% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,732/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 1461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G4D8HMB6E9JDRC
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29