5 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,053 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,351/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$19
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$494
Net cashflow
$-857/mo
Annual
$-10,278/yr
Cap rate
3.66%
Cash-on-cash
-9.41%
DSCR
0.58
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$109,197
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $390k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-857 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (31.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (39.7% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $235k (39.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 327 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.4% in Urbandale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G4ZFS47NGJA8MV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29