2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,387 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,536/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8
Tax + insurance
−$3
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$323
Net cashflow
$1,203/mo
Annual
$14,433/yr
Cap rate
908.36%
Cash-on-cash
3221.66%
DSCR
144.35
1% rule
96.03%
Cash to close
$448
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $2k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#8 in TN, #3,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment F.
Johnson City (urban): math 46% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #9 of 139 in TN (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lake Ridge Elementary (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B-, #67 of 952 statewide, top 7%, 627 students, 0% FRL); Indian Trail Middle School (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D+, #28 of 333 statewide, top 8%, 808 students, 0% FRL); Science Hill High School (math 37% / reading 60%, grade D, #13 of 332 statewide, top 4%, 2,401 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,155 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (437 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $448 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 908.4% vs local median 3.1% in Johnson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G4ZHJGCFMTV258
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29