3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,667 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 670 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,831/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,364
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$385
Net cashflow
$-350/mo
Annual
$-4,205/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.78%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$72,815
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (11.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 670 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $183k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Armstrong Elementary (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #673 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 478 students, 99% FRL); Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 49% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.0% in Eastover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 670 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G5NKNN4817RRD5
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29