2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Manufactured
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,512/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$766
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$-55/mo
Annual
$-659/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.37%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
2.16%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-659/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $62k (11.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: George Washington Elementary (math 14% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,162 of 1,571 statewide, top 74%, 463 students, 80% FRL); John F. Kennedy Junior High (math 20% / reading 37%, grade F, #231 of 498 statewide, top 47%, 517 students, 87% FRL); Hanford High (1,549 students, 80% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hanford Joint Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 434 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
22 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Chipping and fading paint on exterior and interior walls.
Minor: Flooring
— Light scratches and wear on hardwood floors.
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Slight wear on cabinet doors and drawers.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Some discoloration on tiles and fixtures.
Moderate: HVAC unit
— Appears outdated and may need cleaning or minor repairs.
Major: Landscaping
— Dry yard and lack of landscaping significantly reduce curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G5W88S05YD4PNX
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29