4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,438/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$570
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$512
Net cashflow
$-873/mo
Annual
$-10,473/yr
Cap rate
3.83%
Cash-on-cash
-8.80%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-873 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $271k (36.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (42.6% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($400k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (42.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#148 in WA, #3,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $425k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.3% in Parkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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