2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,624 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$600
Tax + insurance
−$85
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$154/mo
Annual
$1,843/yr
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.75%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$32,060
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $114k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (7.2% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($792 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#187 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Mcnairy County (rural): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #100 of 139 in TN (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 units permitted in McNairy County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
McNairy County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Corinth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G651KGD6JD3YS0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29