3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,175 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Active
· 150 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,191
Tax + insurance
−$1,032
HOA
−$172
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,079
Net cashflow
$1,426/mo
Annual
$17,110/yr
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.17%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$277,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath condo listed at $990k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $990k).
It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($871k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $871k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#318 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D-, commute F.
North Wildwood School District (suburban): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #396 of 612 in NJ (top 65%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $829k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in North Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G6SC1A8TVN0D00
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29