901 6530 Rd #1504

Montrose, CO 81401

$172,000C-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Built 2022 · Manufactured · Active · 216 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,896/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$902
• Tax + insurance: −$126
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$398
• Net cashflow: $469/mo
• Annual: $5,631/yr
• Cap rate: 9.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.69%
• DSCR: 1.52
• 1% rule: 1.10%
• Cash to close: $48,160

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $172k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $172k).
• It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $151k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#109 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, commute F.
• Montrose County School District Re-1J (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 86 in CO (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Johnson Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #606 of 966 statewide, top 65%, 529 students, 63% FRL); Centennial Middle School (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #138 of 270 statewide, top 52%, 582 students, 52% FRL); Montrose High School (math 27% / reading 56%, grade F, #163 of 381 statewide, top 43%, 1,261 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 376 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Montrose County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Montrose County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.9% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.