1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
851 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,512/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$287
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$-273/mo
Annual
$-3,276/yr
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.20%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (21.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (32.8% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $151k (32.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,512/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G857FSCCKNFGCK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29