3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,214 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,961/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$75
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$9/mo
Annual
$110/yr
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.16%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($110/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (20.0% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $196k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#351 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Franklin Community School Corporation (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #133 of 301 in IN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Needham Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #550 of 994 statewide, top 57%, 326 students, 49% FRL); Franklin Community Middle School (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #176 of 330 statewide, top 54%, 759 students, 48% FRL); Franklin Community High School (math 29% / reading 69%, grade D, #136 of 369 statewide, top 37%, 1,610 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,133 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $156k; list at $245k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G873SA7XN92SH9
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29