3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,557 sqft ·
Built 1929
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,122/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,563
Tax + insurance
−$729
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$656
Net cashflow
$175/mo
Annual
$2,097/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.51%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$83,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $298k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $289k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#41 in IL, #865 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+.
Elmwood Park CUSD 401 (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #403 of 620 in IL (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $298k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in Elmwood Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G8ZRYZ02YRPJ8M
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29