3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,071/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,460
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-587/yr
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.75%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$77,980
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $278k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-587/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (3.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (25.7% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($270k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#342 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Troutman Elementary (math 63% / reading 44%, grade C, #335 of 1,410 statewide, top 24%, 698 students, 54% FRL); South Iredell High (math 47% / reading 72%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 1,711 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $140k; list at $278k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.1% in Troutman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G90XGAEM7T8VKY
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29