3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,471/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$994
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$-93/mo
Annual
$-1,110/yr
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.09%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$53,060
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (8.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (22.4% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Brentwood Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 498 students, 99% FRL); Lewis Chapel Middle (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #424 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 578 students, 100% FRL); Seventy-First High (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,366 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 55% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $111k; list at $190k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G95P8Q6GP2BG3R
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29