2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
975 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,421/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$491
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$-72/mo
Annual
$-866/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.39%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-866/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (13.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in FL, #867 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Turie T. Small Elementary School (math 35% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 383 students, 91% FRL); Campbell Middle School (math 28% / reading 30%, grade F, #479 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 855 students, 80% FRL); Mainland High School (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,855 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 51% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Volusia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G98RCX26N0ZPR8
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29