15 bd · 9.0 ba ·
2,288 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,917/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,923
Tax + insurance
−$710
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,503
Net cashflow
$4,782/mo
Annual
$57,378/yr
Cap rate
13.96%
Cash-on-cash
27.40%
DSCR
2.22
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$209,440
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $748k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($57k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $748k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($726k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $726k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $209k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,917/mo this rent would consume 167% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2008% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G9KABE6RCWYZVZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29