4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,096 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,316/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$696
Net cashflow
$1,194/mo
Annual
$14,333/yr
Cap rate
12.55%
Cash-on-cash
22.35%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $229k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $597/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Christopher Columbus Elementary School (math 34% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,509 of 2,108 statewide, top 72%, 639 students, 82% FRL); John F Kennedy Middle School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #534 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 695 students, 77% FRL); Thomas R Proctor High School (math 86% / reading 62%, grade B+, #659 of 1,100 statewide, top 60%, 2,675 students, 76% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Utica City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 140d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $229k implies a 472% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29