4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,293 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,323/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$381
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$-119/mo
Annual
$-1,430/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.70%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $279k (7.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (22.6% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $232k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#24 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Bixby (suburban): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #15 of 270 in OK (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Bixby North Es (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #3 of 845 statewide, top 0%, 716 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Ms (math 37% / reading 30%, grade F, #33 of 345 statewide, top 10%, 1,216 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Hs (math 42% / reading 48%, grade D-, #13 of 447 statewide, top 3%, 2,102 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 19% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $144k; list at $300k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Bixby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G9SFHX0Y3A3SY0
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29