3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,049 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,333/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$326
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$97/mo
Annual
$1,166/yr
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.47%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#708 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Diboll ISD (town): math 45% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #394 of 826 in TX (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-G9X7001JHMMKSH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29