4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,668 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,236/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$57/mo
Annual
$683/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.63%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($683/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#261 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Wayne County (rural): math 8% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #130 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Waynesboro Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #709 of 952 statewide, top 77%, 426 students, 0% FRL); Wayne County High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #129 of 332 statewide, top 43%, 277 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.
Wayne County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GA1R1WF29KK2JC
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29