5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,016 sqft ·
Built 2020
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 185 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,391/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$437
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-228/yr
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.63%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-228/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (2.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#408 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Fairfield Comm H S District 225 (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #725 of 919 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Fairfield Comm High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 449 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Wayne County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $130k implies a 1137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-GAKKBN103ZG81T
· Data 1 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29