2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,924 sqft ·
Built 1913
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$959/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$73
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$476/mo
Annual
$5,712/yr
Cap rate
20.64%
Cash-on-cash
51.25%
DSCR
3.28
1% rule
2.41%
Cash to close
$11,144
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $40k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $275 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $322 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#950 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Morgan Local (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #420 of 656 in OH (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GB6BFK5EXF0WRK
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29