2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1951
· Condo
· Active
· 303 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,221/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$431
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$676
Net cashflow
$934/mo
Annual
$11,208/yr
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.85%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $934 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#7 in NY, #165 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Hewlett-Woodmere Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #59 of 590 in NY (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Franklin Early Childhood Center (422 students, 25% FRL); Woodmere Middle School (math 62% / reading 73%, grade A-, #98 of 729 statewide, top 14%, 716 students, 26% FRL); George W Hewlett High School (math 95% / reading 97%, grade A+, #68 of 1,100 statewide, top 6%, 999 students, 26% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $177k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.7% in Hewlett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29