3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 167 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,963/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$520
HOA
−$2
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$622
Net cashflow
$-200/mo
Annual
$-2,406/yr
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.23%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-200 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $350k (9.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (23.0% below list).
It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#7 in KS, #1,145 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living D+, commute F.
Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Briarwood Elem (math 66% / reading 72%, grade A-, #28 of 684 statewide, top 4%, 660 students, 19% FRL); Indian Hills Middle (math 44% / reading 51%, grade C-, #8 of 219 statewide, top 3%, 850 students, 15% FRL); Shawnee Mission East High (math 40% / reading 46%, grade F, #10 of 327 statewide, top 3%, 1,697 students, 12% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in Prairie Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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