3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 247 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,489/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$313
Net cashflow
$347/mo
Annual
$4,163/yr
Cap rate
9.76%
Cash-on-cash
12.39%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#287 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
Grand Valley School District No. 16 In The County Of Garfi (town): math 18% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #72 of 86 in CO (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garfield County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 1.8% in Battlement Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GCDXVNDDMHQHCF
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29