3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,774 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 160 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,021/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$-118/mo
Annual
$-1,418/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.78%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (29.1% below list).
It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $211k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GCFR8500X2B3SK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29