2 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,825 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,409
Tax + insurance
−$887
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,373
Net cashflow
$4,631/mo
Annual
$55,578/yr
Cap rate
14.84%
Cash-on-cash
30.54%
DSCR
2.36
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$182,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 8-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive. Per door: $926/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $650k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($640k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $640k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in CT, #505 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Meriden School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #116 of 153 in CT (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: John Barry School (math 26% / reading 37%, grade F, #376 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 472 students, 87% FRL); Orville H. Platt High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 194 statewide, top 82%, 1,108 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 61% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $93k; list at $650k implies a 599% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 4.2% in Meriden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,300/mo this rent would consume 190% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 973% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GCPXP13XBZ8QXE
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29