3 bd · 7.0 ba ·
10,000 sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 229 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$45,836/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$11,537
Tax + insurance
−$3,667
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,626
Net cashflow
$21,007/mo
Annual
$252,081/yr
Cap rate
17.75%
Cash-on-cash
40.92%
DSCR
2.82
1% rule
2.08%
Cash to close
$616,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/7.0-bath multifamily listed at $2.20M. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $21k ($252k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($46k rent vs $2.20M).
It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.94M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.94M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $66k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in NY, #2,028 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, cost of living F.
Huntington Union Free School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #328 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $616k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 4.1% in Huntington Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $45,836/mo this rent would consume 334% of the median local household income ($165k/yr) (locally 627% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Appliances
— Old and worn
Major: HVAC system
— No visible condition details
Major: Exterior walls
— Weathered
Major: Flooring
— Worn and uneven
Major: Paint
— Chipped and uneven
CashFlowRE · CFR-GCYV1A3EQDK6S0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29