3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,652/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$535
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$253/mo
Annual
$3,034/yr
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.47%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
2.21%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in MO, #1,487 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Liberty 53 (suburban): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 324 in MO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lillian Schumacher Elem. (math 39% / reading 49%, grade F, #469 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 475 students, 34% FRL); Liberty High (math 33% / reading 75%, grade C-, #82 of 521 statewide, top 16%, 1,997 students, 22% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.6% in Liberty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GDBJVJ2XBSAKHK
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29