1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
691 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,795/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$368
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$377
Net cashflow
$-236/mo
Annual
$-2,832/yr
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.19%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (21.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (8.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $153k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Campbell Stem Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #104 of 156 statewide, top 70%, 415 students, 47% FRL); Mirror Lake Middle School (math 39% / reading 53%, grade D+, #10 of 36 statewide, top 26%, 563 students, 21% FRL); Dimond High School (math 37% / reading 41%, grade F, #23 of 61 statewide, top 37%, 1,443 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29