2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1943
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,216/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$592
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$269/mo
Annual
$3,232/yr
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.22%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$31,612
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $113k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#227 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Westside Elementary School (math 19% / reading 14%, grade F, #968 of 1,228 statewide, top 79%, 556 students, 84% FRL); Northside Middle School (math 29% / reading 31%, grade F, #243 of 470 statewide, top 53%, 844 students, 84% FRL); Northside High School (math 5% / reading 21%, grade F, #331 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 1,959 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 46% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $47k; list at $113k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.9% in Warner Robins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GDXY9FCERNCQGZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29