2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,179 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 229 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$342
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$-314/mo
Annual
$-3,770/yr
Cap rate
4.45%
Cash-on-cash
-6.57%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$57,399
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $205k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-314 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (22.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (31.9% below list).
It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#489 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Heights Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 1,109 students, 38% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,138 students, 44% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 1034 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 99d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 0.4% in Fort Myers Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GE532W8H1R7301
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29