1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,946/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$708
HOA
−$743
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,249
Net cashflow
$1,227/mo
Annual
$14,728/yr
Cap rate
10.33%
Cash-on-cash
14.40%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $385k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $385k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $373k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GEFVVVFAC8YPGB
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29