4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,125 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,470/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$784
Tax + insurance
−$204
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$173/mo
Annual
$2,079/yr
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.97%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$41,860
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#16 in WV, #2,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment F.
Cabell County Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #13 of 55 in WV (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Cabell County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $57k; list at $150k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GETDYG5MDESSBP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29