2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,327 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 282 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,274/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,993
Tax + insurance
−$796
HOA
−$1,340
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,318
Net cashflow
$827/mo
Annual
$9,929/yr
Cap rate
10.25%
Cash-on-cash
14.14%
DSCR
1.63
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$106,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $380k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $380k).
It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $334k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#693 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Anna Maria Elementary School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #170 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 190 students, 36% FRL); Bayshore High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,435 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: 539 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $300k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GF87EB48Z3C6D8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29