2988 Walnut St

Talmage, KS 67482

$59,500B

5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,047 sqft · Built 1912 · SingleFamily · Pending · 40 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $978/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$312
• Tax + insurance: −$44
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$205
• Net cashflow: $417/mo
• Annual: $5,000/yr
• Cap rate: 14.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.01%
• DSCR: 2.34
• 1% rule: 1.64%
• Cash to close: $16,660

Investor read

• This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $60k).
• It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($411 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#585 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Abilene (town): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #81 of 169 in KS (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $15k; list at $60k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.