2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$605
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$91/mo
Annual
$1,096/yr
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.02%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
2.23%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#105 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Homedale Joint District (town): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #64 of 92 in ID (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Homedale Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #255 of 357 statewide, top 74%, 469 students, 59% FRL); Homedale High School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #108 of 169 statewide, top 67%, 411 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 40 units permitted in Owyhee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Owyhee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.0% in Homedale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GG8G8H4B3EPWPD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29