4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,455 sqft ·
Built 1914
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,623/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$340
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$551
Net cashflow
$658/mo
Annual
$7,893/yr
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.92%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$57,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $329/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $199k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#553 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
St Bernard-Elmwood Place City (suburban): math 36% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #529 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,623/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29