3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,334 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,475/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$404
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$607/mo
Annual
$7,282/yr
Cap rate
15.75%
Cash-on-cash
33.78%
DSCR
2.50
1% rule
1.92%
Cash to close
$21,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $77k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
Palestine ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #509 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Northside Pri (465 students, 80% FRL); Story Int (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #997 of 1,662 statewide, top 61%, 673 students, 80% FRL); Palestine H S (math 44% / reading 41%, grade F, #721 of 1,632 statewide, top 45%, 998 students, 77% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.8% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Severe wear and tear.
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Outdated and in poor condition.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Worn and outdated, requiring replacement.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repainting.
Moderate: Front porch
— Worn and in need of repair.
Major: Flooring
— Severe wear and tear, requiring replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GGZ3Y3CE927TCG
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29