2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,070 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,276/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$173
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$780/mo
Annual
$9,359/yr
Cap rate
34.65%
Cash-on-cash
101.29%
DSCR
5.51
1% rule
3.87%
Cash to close
$9,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $33k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $780 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Mount Clemens Community School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #532 of 540 in MI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 34.7% vs local median 3.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GH098722BYCJ86
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29