202 Keith Ln

Utica, SC 29678

$190,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Built 1999 · SingleFamily · Active · 18 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,890/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax + insurance: −$112
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$397
• Net cashflow: $385/mo
• Annual: $4,617/yr
• Cap rate: 8.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.68%
• DSCR: 1.39
• 1% rule: 0.99%
• Cash to close: $53,200

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (0.5% below list).
• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#158 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Oconee 01 (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #27 of 80 in SC (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Blue Ridge Elementary (math 29% / reading 25%, grade F, #421 of 597 statewide, top 73%, 597 students, 100% FRL); Seneca Middle (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #86 of 229 statewide, top 39%, 781 students, 77% FRL); Seneca High (math 62% / reading 87%, grade B+, #38 of 196 statewide, top 20%, 1,052 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 50% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 648 units permitted in Oconee County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.