16 bd · 1.0 ba ·
9,158 sqft ·
Built 1961
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$47,284/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$23,572
Tax + insurance
−$5,297
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,930
Net cashflow
$8,485/mo
Annual
$101,818/yr
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.09%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$1,258,600
Investor read
This is a 10 × 16-bed/10.0-bath units multifamily listed at $4.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($102k/yr) — positive. Per door: $848/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($47k rent vs $4.50M).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $31k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $135k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Sequoia Union High (suburban): math 52% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #159 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,019 units permitted in San Mateo County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Mateo County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $2.19M; list at $4.50M implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $1.26M cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 1.4% in Redwood City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $47,284/mo this rent would consume 388% of the median local household income ($146k/yr) (locally 1550% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GHZQMG9J32RD2P
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29