3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,048 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 169 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$408/mo
Annual
$4,894/yr
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.40%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $962 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#122 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Mcgehee School District (town): math 24% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #200 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Desha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Desha County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $95k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GJ57Q2FP3EJWVZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29