2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,838 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,220/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,987
Tax + insurance
−$631
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$676
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-900/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$106,089
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $379k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-900/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $368k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $322k (15.0% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $322k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 245 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.8% in Waldorf — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GJ7YKY2APEWT47
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29