2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 420 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$881/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$178/mo
Annual
$2,139/yr
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.20%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($881 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 420 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,493 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D+, schools F, crime F.
Rosebud-Lott ISD (rural): math 29% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #592 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Falls County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Falls County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 420 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Sections of siding are missing
Major: Roof
— Appears old and possibly leaking
Major: Flooring
— Hardwood flooring has visible damage
Major: Painted walls
— Painted walls are chipped and dirty
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Appears worn
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Appears damaged
CashFlowRE · CFR-GJ872AFKG9XFRC
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29