386 Misty Cir

Buchanan, GA 30176

$106,150C-

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Built 1998 · Manufactured · Active · 131 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,017/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$557
• Tax + insurance: −$111
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$214
• Net cashflow: $135/mo
• Annual: $1,626/yr
• Cap rate: 7.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.47%
• DSCR: 1.24
• 1% rule: 0.96%
• Cash to close: $29,722

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $106k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (4.2% below list).
• It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $93k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $229 of equity ($734 loan paydown + $-505 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#262 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Haralson County (rural): math 36% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #76 of 174 in GA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Buchanan Primary School (445 students, 85% FRL); Haralson County Middle School (math 43% / reading 33%, grade F, #159 of 470 statewide, top 34%, 772 students, 85% FRL); Haralson County High School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #74 of 424 statewide, top 18%, 945 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 54% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 225 units permitted in Haralson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Haralson County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 1.9% in Buchanan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.