3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,240 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,970/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$353
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$414
Net cashflow
$-102/mo
Annual
$-1,227/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.80%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (20.9% below list).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#185 in PA, #1,557 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Delaware Valley SD (rural): math 41% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #121 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Delaware Valley El Sch (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 457 students, 44% FRL); Delaware Valley Ms (math 33% / reading 70%, grade C, #109 of 512 statewide, top 22%, 479 students, 38% FRL); Delaware Valley Hs (math 77% / reading 75%, grade A-, #25 of 437 statewide, top 6%, 1,418 students, 37% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $249k implies a 398% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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