4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,496 sqft ·
Built 1878
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 310 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,817/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$507
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$142/mo
Annual
$1,702/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 310 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#570 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 70% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Greenbush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1878 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $109k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 310 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1878 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-GJXCGV11XES3BQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29